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We Think Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我们认为安徽新华传媒(SHSE: 601801)可以轻松管理债务
Simply Wall St ·  03/01 18:25

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,安徽新华传媒股份有限公司(SHSE: 601801)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Debt?

安徽新华传媒的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Anhui Xinhua Media had CN¥1.15b of debt, an increase on CN¥422.6m, over one year. But it also has CN¥10.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.39b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,安徽新华传媒在一年内有11.5亿元人民币的债务,比4.226亿元人民币的债务有所增加。但它也有105亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为93.9亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601801 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024
SHSE: 601801 2024 年 3 月 1 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Anhui Xinhua Media's Liabilities

看看安徽新华传媒的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Xinhua Media had liabilities of CN¥6.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥880.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.5b and CN¥2.50b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥5.50b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,安徽新华传媒的负债为66.6亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为8.80亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为105亿元人民币,还有价值25亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出550亿元人民币 负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Anhui Xinhua Media's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Xinhua Media has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性很好地表明安徽新华传媒的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。从这个角度来看,贷款人应该像黑带空手道大师心爱的人一样感到安全。简而言之,安徽新华传媒的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

On the other hand, Anhui Xinhua Media saw its EBIT drop by 2.5% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Xinhua Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一方面,安徽新华传媒的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了2.5%。这种下降如果持续下去,显然会使债务更难处理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定安徽新华传媒能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Xinhua Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Anhui Xinhua Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。安徽新华传媒的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效果仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。令所有股东感到高兴的是,在过去三年中,安徽新华传媒产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在保持贷款人的支持方面,没有什么比流入的现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Xinhua Media has CN¥9.39b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, being 165% of its EBIT. So is Anhui Xinhua Media's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Anhui Xinhua Media, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,安徽新华传媒拥有93.9亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。它以14亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的165%。那么安徽新华传媒的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果你对安徽新华传媒感兴趣,你很可能想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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