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Regal Rexnord Corporation's (NYSE:RRX) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 2 06:15

Regal Rexnord Corporation (NYSE:RRX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.8% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Regal Rexnord's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electrical industry in the United States, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:RRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

What Does Regal Rexnord's Recent Performance Look Like?

Regal Rexnord certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Regal Rexnord's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Regal Rexnord?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Regal Rexnord would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 115% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.2% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 21% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Regal Rexnord's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Regal Rexnord's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Regal Rexnord's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given that Regal Rexnord's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Regal Rexnord.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Regal Rexnord, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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