China Regenerative Medicine International Limited (HKG:8158) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, China Regenerative Medicine International may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 9.8x and even P/S higher than 27x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does China Regenerative Medicine International's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, China Regenerative Medicine International's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Regenerative Medicine International will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as China Regenerative Medicine International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 79% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why China Regenerative Medicine International's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From China Regenerative Medicine International's P/S?
Shares in China Regenerative Medicine International have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of China Regenerative Medicine International confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - China Regenerative Medicine International has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Regenerative Medicine International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.