Zhejiang Jolly Pharmaceutical Co.,LTD (SZSE:300181) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.9% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 31x, you may still consider Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD as an attractive investment with its 21.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 29% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 526% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 20% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Jolly PharmaceuticalLTD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.