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Qingdao Copton Technology Company Limited (SHSE:603798) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Qingdao Copton Technology Company Limited (SHSE:603798) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

青岛科普顿科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603798)股票走强,但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  03/03 19:40

Most readers would already be aware that Qingdao Copton Technology's (SHSE:603798) stock increased significantly by 39% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Qingdao Copton Technology's ROE today.

大多数读者已经意识到,青岛科普顿科技(SHSE: 603798)的股票在过去一周大幅上涨了39%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给公司的财务状况提供明确的信号。特别是,我们今天将关注青岛康普顿科技的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qingdao Copton Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,青岛康普顿科技的投资回报率为:

4.4% = CN¥51m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.4% = 5100万元人民币 ÷ 12亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.04元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Qingdao Copton Technology's Earnings Growth And 4.4% ROE

青岛科普顿科技的收益增长和4.4%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Qingdao Copton Technology's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.0%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Qingdao Copton Technology's five year net income decline of 9.5% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很明显,青岛科普顿科技的投资回报率相当低。不仅如此,即使与7.0%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。出于这个原因,鉴于投资回报率较低,青岛科普顿科技五年净收入下降9.5%并不奇怪。但是,也可能有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

That being said, we compared Qingdao Copton Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将青岛科普顿科技的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以12%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603798 Past Earnings Growth March 4th 2024
SHSE: 603798 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 4 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Qingdao Copton Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,青岛康普顿科技的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Qingdao Copton Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

青岛科普顿科技是否有效地将其利润再投资?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that Qingdao Copton Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为30%(即留存率为70%),但青岛科普顿科技的收益萎缩这一事实还是相当令人费解的。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Qingdao Copton Technology has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,青岛科普顿科技已经派发了七年的股息,这表明尽管收益有所下降,但管理层仍倾向于继续支付股息。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Qingdao Copton Technology. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Qingdao Copton Technology.

总的来说,我们对青岛科普顿科技有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为青岛康普顿科技确定的两种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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