Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited (SZSE:002938) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 31x, you may still consider Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co as a highly attractive investment with its 14x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 37% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co's P/E
Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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