Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited (HKG:3692) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.2% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.8x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10.0% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group's P/E
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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