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Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd (SHSE:603876) A Risky Investment?

Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd (SHSE:603876) A Risky Investment?

江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603876)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:07

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603876) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,江蘇鼎盛新材料股份有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:603876)使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's Debt?

江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd had CN¥7.17b of debt, up from CN¥6.34b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥8.43b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.26b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的債務爲71.7億元人民幣,高於去年同期的63.4億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但它也有84.3億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲12.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603876 Debt to Equity History March 5th 2024
SHSE: 603876 2024 年 3 月 5 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's Balance Sheet?

江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd had liabilities of CN¥14.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.90b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.59b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.71b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的負債爲148億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲29.0億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有84.3億元人民幣的現金以及價值35.9億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出57.1億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥8.15b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

相對於其81.5億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。儘管負債可觀,但江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 41% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止去年削減41%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔對江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司來說可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's free cash flow amounted to 41% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的41%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Summing Up

總結

Although Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.26b. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管由於負債總額,江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的資產負債表並不是特別強勁,但其淨現金爲12.6億元人民幣顯然是樂觀的。因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的地方,但我們對江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司的資產負債表並不太擔心。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向江蘇鼎盛新材料有限公司確定了1個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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