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There's Reason For Concern Over Zhejiang Fenglong Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002931) Massive 30% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 08:32

Zhejiang Fenglong Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002931) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang Fenglong Electric is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.8x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002931 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Zhejiang Fenglong Electric Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Fenglong Electric will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's Revenue Growth Trending?

Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 12% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 27% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Fenglong Electric is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhejiang Fenglong Electric currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Zhejiang Fenglong Electric (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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