Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Maiden Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:MHLD) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Maiden Holdings as a highly attractive investment with its 7.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For example, consider that Maiden Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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How Is Maiden Holdings' Growth Trending?
Maiden Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 54% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 43% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Maiden Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Maiden Holdings' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Maiden Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Maiden Holdings (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Maiden Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.