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Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Gongniu Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603195) Stock?

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Gongniu Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603195) Stock?

強勁的財務狀況是否推動了工牛集團有限公司最近的漲勢?”s (SHSE: 603195) 股票?
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 17:11

Gongniu Group's (SHSE:603195) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Gongniu Group's ROE.

工牛集團(上海證券交易所代碼:603195)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了11%。鑑於從長遠來看,市場會獎勵強勁的財務狀況,我們想知道在這種情況下是否如此。在本文中,我們決定重點關注工牛集團的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gongniu Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,工牛集團的投資回報率爲:

27% = CN¥3.6b ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

27% = 36億元人民幣 ¥13億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.27 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。對此進行概念化的一種方法是,該公司每擁有1元人民幣的股本即可獲得0.27元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Gongniu Group's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

工牛集團的收益增長和27%的投資回報率

Firstly, we acknowledge that Gongniu Group has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 7.1% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Probably as a result of this, Gongniu Group was able to see a decent net income growth of 14% over the last five years.

首先,我們承認工牛集團的投資回報率非常高。其次,即使與7.1%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當可觀。可能是由於這個原因,工牛集團在過去五年中得以實現14%的不錯的淨收入增長。

Next, on comparing Gongniu Group's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 14% over the last few years.

接下來,在將工牛集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行比較時,我們發現該公司報告的增長與過去幾年14%的行業平均增長率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603195 Past Earnings Growth March 6th 2024
SHSE: 603195 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 6 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Gongniu Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,公牛集團的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Gongniu Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Gongniu Group 是否有效地將利潤再投資?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 51% (or a retention ratio of 49%) for Gongniu Group suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

公牛集團三年來最高的派息率中位數爲51%(或49%的留存率),這表明儘管該公司將大部分收入返還給了股東,但其增長並沒有真正受到阻礙。

Additionally, Gongniu Group has paid dividends over a period of four years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 62% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Gongniu Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 26% for future ROE.

此外,Gongniu集團已在四年內派發了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內繼續支付約62%的利潤。因此,預計工牛集團的投資回報率也不會有太大變化,我們從分析師對未來投資回報率爲26%的估計中推斷了這一點。

Summary

摘要

In total, we are pretty happy with Gongniu Group's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對工牛集團的表現非常滿意。特別是,其高投資回報率非常值得注意,也是其可觀收益增長背後的可能解釋。但是,該公司保留了其利潤的一小部分。這意味着儘管如此,該公司還是能夠增加收益,所以這還不錯。我們還研究了最新的分析師預測,發現該公司的收益增長預計與其當前的增長率相似。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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