Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002529) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 49% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, you may consider Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 152% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Haiyuan Composites TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.