Those holding Tungkong Inc. (SZSE:002117) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Tungkong's P/E ratio of 27.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 30x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Tungkong has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tungkong would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.2% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that Tungkong's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Tungkong's P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Tungkong's P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Tungkong currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Tungkong is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Tungkong's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.