Those holding Guangdong Tecsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002908) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 41.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Enough Growth For Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 10% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong Tecsun Science & TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.