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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Sanbo Hospital Management Group Limited (SZSE:301293) After Shares Rise 27%

株式の上昇後、サンボ病院管理グループ株式会社(SZSE:301293)の収益は物語を伝えていない

Simply Wall St ·  03/06 18:42

Sanbo Hospital Management Group Limited (SZSE:301293) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Sanbo Hospital Management Group as a stock not worth researching with its 9.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301293 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Sanbo Hospital Management Group Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sanbo Hospital Management Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sanbo Hospital Management Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sanbo Hospital Management Group?

Sanbo Hospital Management Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.5%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 21% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Sanbo Hospital Management Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Sanbo Hospital Management Group's P/S

Shares in Sanbo Hospital Management Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Sanbo Hospital Management Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Sanbo Hospital Management Group that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sanbo Hospital Management Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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