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Further Upside For Jinlong Machinery & Electronic Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300032) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 41% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 07:55

Those holding Jinlong Machinery & Electronic Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300032) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 41% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may still consider Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300032 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 118% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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