If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Suzhou Wanxiang Technology (SZSE:301180), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Suzhou Wanxiang Technology:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.033 = CN¥47m ÷ (CN¥1.6b - CN¥233m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Suzhou Wanxiang Technology has an ROCE of 3.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electronic industry average of 5.3%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Suzhou Wanxiang Technology has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Suzhou Wanxiang Technology's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Suzhou Wanxiang Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.3% from 24% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a related note, Suzhou Wanxiang Technology has decreased its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
What We Can Learn From Suzhou Wanxiang Technology's ROCE
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Suzhou Wanxiang Technology have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 25% over the last year, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Suzhou Wanxiang Technology (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.