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Is Gotion High-techLtd (SZSE:002074) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Gotion High-techLtd (SZSE:002074) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Gotion High-TechLtd(深圳證券交易所:002074)是否以風險方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 23:33

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002074) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到國軒高科股份有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002074)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Gotion High-techLtd's Net Debt?

Gotion High-TechLtd 的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Gotion High-techLtd had CN¥32.5b of debt, up from CN¥20.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥18.6b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥13.9b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,Gotion High-TechLtd的債務爲325億元人民幣,高於去年同期的209億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它也有186億加元的現金,因此其淨負債爲139億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002074 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024
SZSE: 002074 2024 年 3 月 7 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Gotion High-techLtd's Balance Sheet?

Gotion HightechLtd的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gotion High-techLtd had liabilities of CN¥40.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥21.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥18.6b in cash and CN¥14.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥29.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Gotion High-TechLtd的負債爲403億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲216億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有186億加元的現金和143億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出290億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥34.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Gotion High-techLtd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gotion High-techLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

相對於其346億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注Gotion High-TechLtd的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Gotion High-TechLtd能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Gotion High-techLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 60%, to CN¥30b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

去年,Gotion High-TechLtd在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但設法將其收入增長了60%,達到300億元人民幣。股東們可能對它能夠實現盈利抱有疑慮。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Gotion High-techLtd still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥169m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥11b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Gotion High-techLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

儘管收入有所增長,但Gotion High-TechLTD去年仍出現利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1.69億元人民幣。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負110億元人民幣。因此,簡而言之,這是一隻非常有風險的股票。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,Gotion High-TechLtd 有 2 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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