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Blade Air Mobility, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLDE) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 05:04

Blade Air Mobility, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLDE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 17% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Blade Air Mobility is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Airlines industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:BLDE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Blade Air Mobility's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Blade Air Mobility certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Blade Air Mobility's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Blade Air Mobility's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 63%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 91% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Blade Air Mobility is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Blade Air Mobility's P/S?

Blade Air Mobility's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've concluded that Blade Air Mobility currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Blade Air Mobility that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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