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Improved Revenues Required Before Xencor, Inc. (NASDAQ:XNCR) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 19:13

Xencor, Inc. (NASDAQ:XNCR) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Xencor may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 15.6x and even P/S higher than 80x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:XNCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

How Has Xencor Performed Recently?

Xencor could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Xencor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Xencor's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Xencor's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 37% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 273% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Xencor's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Despite Xencor's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Xencor maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xencor.

If you're unsure about the strength of Xencor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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