Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Is There Some Growth For Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
