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UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

uTour集团(深圳证券交易所:002707)有债务但没有收益;你应该担心吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/07 17:26

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,UTour集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002707)也使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does UTour Group Carry?

uTour 集团背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that UTour Group had debt of CN¥486.3m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.02b over a year. However, it does have CN¥653.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥166.8m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,uTour集团的债务为4.863亿元人民币,较一年内的10.2亿元人民币有所减少。但是,它确实有6.531亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为1.668亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024
SZSE: 002707 2024 年 3 月 7 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At UTour Group's Liabilities

看看 uTour 集团的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥2.09b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥25.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥653.1m in cash and CN¥274.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.19b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,uTour集团的负债为20.9亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为2550万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有6.531亿元的现金和2.742亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额11.9亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded UTour Group shares are worth a total of CN¥6.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, UTour Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于公开交易的uTour集团股票总价值为650亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管负债巨大,但uTour集团拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定uTour集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Over 12 months, UTour Group reported revenue of CN¥2.3b, which is a gain of 369%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

在过去的12个月中,uTour集团公布的收入为23亿元人民币,增长了369%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。当谈到收入增长时,这就像打出这场比赛的三分球一样!

So How Risky Is UTour Group?

那么 uTour Group 有多危险?

While UTour Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥153m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. One positive is that UTour Group is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how UTour Group's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

尽管uTour集团的息税前收益(EBIT)水平出现亏损,但它实际上创造了1.53亿元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,尽管亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太大的短期资产负债表风险。一个积极因素是,uTour集团的收入正在迅速增长,这使得推销成长故事并在需要时筹集资金变得更加容易。但这并不能改变我们对股票有风险的看法。当我们研究一家风险较高的公司时,我们喜欢检查他们的利润(或亏损)随着时间的推移而呈现的趋势。今天,我们向读者提供这张交互式图表,显示uTour集团的利润、收入和运营现金流在过去几年中发生了怎样的变化。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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