Ninestar Corporation (SZSE:002180) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 49% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, Ninestar's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 66.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Ninestar has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Ninestar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Ninestar?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ninestar's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 73%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 13% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 327% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ninestar's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Ninestar's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Ninestar's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Ninestar's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ninestar has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ninestar's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.