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There's Reason For Concern Over Sino Medical Sciences Technology Inc.'s (SHSE:688108) Massive 41% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 9 06:07

Sino Medical Sciences Technology Inc. (SHSE:688108) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 41% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 84%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Sino Medical Sciences Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Medical Equipment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.6x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688108 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Sino Medical Sciences Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sino Medical Sciences Technology as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sino Medical Sciences Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Sino Medical Sciences Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sino Medical Sciences Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 78%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sino Medical Sciences Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Sino Medical Sciences Technology's P/S

Sino Medical Sciences Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Sino Medical Sciences Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sino Medical Sciences Technology (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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