Anzheng Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603839) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 42% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, it would still be understandable if you think Anzheng Fashion Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Luxury industry have P/S ratios above 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
SHSE:603839 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024
How Has Anzheng Fashion Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Anzheng Fashion Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anzheng Fashion Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Anzheng Fashion Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.9% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Anzheng Fashion Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Anzheng Fashion Group's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Anzheng Fashion Group's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Anzheng Fashion Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Anzheng Fashion Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Anzheng Fashion Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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