Despite an already strong run, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002749) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 84% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
SZSE:002749 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical.
Is There Enough Growth For Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.6% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 22% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 105% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's P/E?
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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