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Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002272) Share Price Boosted 93% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

四川クルン株式会社(SZSE:002272)の株価が93%上昇しましたが、ビジネスの見通しも改善する必要があります。

Simply Wall St ·  03/11 08:18

Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd (SZSE:002272) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 93% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.2% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Sichuan Crun may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002272 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024

What Does Sichuan Crun's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Sichuan Crun recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sichuan Crun will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Sichuan Crun's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sichuan Crun would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 55% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Sichuan Crun is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Sichuan Crun's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Sichuan Crun's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Sichuan Crun revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Having said that, be aware Sichuan Crun is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are a bit concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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