Investors in Ameren (NYSE:AEE) Have Unfortunately Lost 8.0% Over the Last Year
Investors in Ameren (NYSE:AEE) Have Unfortunately Lost 8.0% Over the Last Year
It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. For example, the Ameren Corporation (NYSE:AEE) share price is down 12% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 33%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 6.6% in that time.
通過購買指數基金很容易匹配整體市場回報。但是,如果你買入個股,你的表現可能比這更好或更差。例如,Ameren公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AEE)的股價在去年下跌了12%。這與33%的市場回報率形成鮮明對比。如果你看一下過去三年,至少損失還不錯,因爲當時該股下跌了6.6%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
考慮到這一點,值得一看公司的基本面是否是長期業績的驅動力,或者是否存在一些差異。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
Even though the Ameren share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.
儘管Ameren的股價在過去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。可能是股價此前被過度炒作。
It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.
可以公平地說,股價似乎並未反映每股收益的增長。但是我們可能會發現一些不同的指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。
In contrast, the 5.8% drop in revenue is a real concern. Many investors see falling revenue as a likely precursor to lower earnings, so this could well explain the weak share price.
相比之下,收入下降5.8%確實是一個問題。許多投資者認爲,收入下降可能是收益下降的先兆,因此這很可以解釋股價疲軟的原因。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling Ameren stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您正在考慮買入或賣出Ameren股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Ameren the TSR over the last 1 year was -8.0%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,對於Ameren而言,過去1年的股東總回報率爲-8.0%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Ameren shareholders are down 8.0% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 33%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ameren (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
Ameren股東今年下跌了8.0%(甚至包括股息),但市場本身上漲了33%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺3%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在Ameren身上發現的2個警告信號(包括一個對我們來說不太合適)。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。