share_log

What Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300375) 43% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 12 18:04

Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300375) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.

After such a large jump in price, Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 58.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300375 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd?

Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.8% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 61% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd's P/E?

Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tianjin Pengling GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment