Here's Why Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (SZSE:000158) Can Afford Some Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000158) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,石家莊常山北明科技有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000158)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可能是企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Debt?
石家莊長山北明科技有限公司的債務是多少?
As you can see below, Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had CN¥5.39b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥1.37b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.02b.
如下所示,截至2023年9月,石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的債務爲53.9億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,它也有13.7億元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲402億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.00b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.37b in cash and CN¥3.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.58b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,石家莊長山北明科技有限公司的負債爲800億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲13.2億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有13.7億加元的現金和33.7億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出45.8億元人民幣。
This deficit isn't so bad because Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd is worth CN¥14.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這種赤字還不錯,因爲石家莊常山北明科技有限公司的市值爲143億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,石家莊長山北明科技有限公司的收益將影響未來資產負債表的狀況。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。
In the last year Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to CN¥8.5b. We would much prefer see growth.
去年,石家莊長山北明科技有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了20%,至85億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥658m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥202m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管石家莊長山北明科技有限公司收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲6.58億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。例如,我們不希望看到去年2.02億元人民幣的虧損重演。因此,我們確實認爲這隻股票風險很大。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向石家莊常山北明科技有限公司確定了3個警告信號(至少有2個令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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