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Is Innovation New Material Technology (SHSE:600361) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Innovation New Material Technology (SHSE:600361) Using Too Much Debt?

創新新材料科技(SHSE: 600361)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 21:33

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Innovation New Material Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600361) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,創新新材料技術有限公司(SHSE:600361)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Innovation New Material Technology's Net Debt?

創新新材料科技的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Innovation New Material Technology had CN¥7.34b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.73b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.16b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.18b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,創新新材料科技在一年內有73.4億元人民幣的債務,比17.3億加元人民幣有所增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲41.6億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲31.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600361 Debt to Equity History March 13th 2024
SHSE: 600361 2024 年 3 月 13 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Innovation New Material Technology's Liabilities

看看創新新材料技術的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Innovation New Material Technology had liabilities of CN¥7.09b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.67b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.16b in cash and CN¥3.38b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,創新新材料科技的負債爲70.9億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲26.7億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有41.6億元的現金和33.8億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出22.2億元人民幣。

Given Innovation New Material Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥18.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

鑑於創新新材料科技的市值爲182億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Innovation New Material Technology has net debt worth 1.7 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.4 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Shareholders should be aware that Innovation New Material Technology's EBIT was down 44% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Innovation New Material Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Innovation New Material Technology的淨負債價值是息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.7倍,這並不算多,但其利息保障範圍看起來有點偏低,息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的4.4倍。儘管這些數字並沒有使我們感到震驚,但值得注意的是,公司的債務成本正在產生實際影響。股東們應該意識到,創新新材料科技去年的息稅前利潤下降了44%。如果這種下降持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝更難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定創新新材料技術能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Innovation New Material Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,創新新材料技術消耗了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Innovation New Material Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Innovation New Material Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Innovation New Material Technology (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

坦率地說,Innovation New Material Technology將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其(不)增長息稅前利潤的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。話雖如此,它處理總負債的能力並不令人擔憂。總體而言,我們認爲可以公平地說,創新新材料技術有足夠的債務,資產負債表周圍存在一些實際風險。如果一切順利,可能會得到回報,但這筆債務的不利之處是永久損失的風險更大。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了 3 個創新新材料技術的警告信號(其中 1 個對我們來說不太合適!)你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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