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Repay Holdings Corporation's (NASDAQ:RPAY) 33% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 13 18:39

Repay Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:RPAY) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 64%.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Diversified Financial industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Repay Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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NasdaqCM:RPAY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024

How Has Repay Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Repay Holdings as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Repay Holdings.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Repay Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Repay Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.2% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 91% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.2% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 7.3% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Repay Holdings is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Repay Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Analysts are forecasting Repay Holdings' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Repay Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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