You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x Lazard, Inc. (NYSE:LAZ) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Capital Markets companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Lazard Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Lazard's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lazard will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lazard would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 1.8% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.1% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that Lazard is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Lazard's P/S?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
To us, it seems Lazard currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Lazard (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lazard's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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