Those holding JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. (SZSE:002530) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 4.1% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 2.4% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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