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It's Down 30% But Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 14 09:01

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 88% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Outset Medical may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024

What Does Outset Medical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Outset Medical has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Outset Medical will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Outset Medical?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Outset Medical's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 161% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.5% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Outset Medical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Outset Medical's P/S

Outset Medical's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

A look at Outset Medical's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Outset Medical that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Outset Medical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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