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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Yuexiu Property (HKG:123) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Yuexiu Property (HKG:123) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

正收益增長不足以讓越秀地產(HKG: 123)股東在去年獲得可觀的回報
Simply Wall St ·  03/14 17:39

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Investors in Yuexiu Property Company Limited (HKG:123) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 55%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 6.6%. Notably, shareholders had a tough run over the longer term, too, with a drop of 42% in the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months.

通過購買指數基金很容易匹配整體市場回報。儘管個股可以成爲大贏家,但更多股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。去年,由於股價下跌了55%,越秀地產有限公司(HKG: 123)的投資者已經嚐到了這種痛苦的下行空間。這明顯低於6.6%左右的市場跌幅。值得注意的是,股東在長期內也表現艱難,在過去三年中下降了42%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了21%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週令股東更加放心,但與去年相比,他們仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否是造成下降的原因。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Even though the Yuexiu Property share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

儘管越秀地產的股價在過去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。可能是股價此前被過度炒作。

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

儘管每股收益有所改善,但股價仍大幅下跌令人驚訝。因此,也值得查看其他一些指標。

Vibrant companies don't usually cut their dividends, so the recent reduction might help explain why the Yuexiu Property share price has been weak.

充滿活力的公司通常不會削減股息,因此最近的下調可能有助於解釋越秀地產股價疲軟的原因。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:123 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2024
SEHK: 123 2024 年 3 月 14 日的收益和收入增長

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Yuexiu Property

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東是否賺錢將更爲重要。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應幫助您對越秀地產形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Yuexiu Property's TSR for the last 1 year was -49%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,越秀地產過去一年的股東總回報率爲-49%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Yuexiu Property shareholders are down 49% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.6%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Yuexiu Property (including 1 which is concerning) .

我們遺憾地報告,越秀地產的股東今年下跌了49%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場6.6%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨3%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在越秀地產發現的3個警告信號(包括一個令人擔憂的信號)。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

還有很多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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