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Shenzhen Lihexing Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301013) Stock Rockets 52% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 14 18:34

Shenzhen Lihexing Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301013) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 52% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.9x, you may consider Shenzhen LihexingLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 7.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301013 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024

How Shenzhen LihexingLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Shenzhen LihexingLtd's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen LihexingLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen LihexingLtd?

Shenzhen LihexingLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 17% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen LihexingLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen LihexingLtd's P/S?

Shares in Shenzhen LihexingLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen LihexingLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen LihexingLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen LihexingLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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