To the annoyance of some shareholders, RumbleON, Inc. (NASDAQ:RMBL) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think RumbleON's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How RumbleON Has Been Performing
RumbleON hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like RumbleON's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 228% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.9% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that RumbleON's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On RumbleON's P/S
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for RumbleON looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that RumbleON currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware RumbleON is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on RumbleON, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.