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Gentherm Incorporated's (NASDAQ:THRM) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Gentherm Incorporated's (NASDAQ:THRM) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Gentherm Incorporated(納斯達克股票代碼:THRM)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況看起來模棱兩可:勢頭會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 07:19

Most readers would already be aware that Gentherm's (NASDAQ:THRM) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gentherm's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,Gentherm(納斯達克股票代碼:THRM)的股票在過去一個月中大幅上漲了12%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注Gentherm的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gentherm is:

因此,根據上述公式,Gentherm的投資回報率爲:

6.3% = US$40m ÷ US$645m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

6.3% = 4000萬美元 ÷ 6.45億美元(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.06 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。概念化這一點的一種方法是,公司每擁有1美元的股東資本,就會獲得0.06美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Gentherm's Earnings Growth And 6.3% ROE

Gentherm的收益增長和6.3%的投資回報率的並排比較

At first glance, Gentherm's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 12% either. For this reason, Gentherm's five year net income decline of 3.5% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,Gentherm的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。一項快速的進一步研究表明,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的12%相比也並不理想。出於這個原因,鑑於投資回報率較低,Gentherm的五年淨收入下降了3.5%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,企業的資本分配可能不力,或者公司的派息率很高。

So, as a next step, we compared Gentherm's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將Gentherm的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業的收益在過去幾年中一直以11%的速度增長。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:THRM Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2024
納斯達克GS:THRM 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 15 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is THRM fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。THRM 的價值是否合理?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Gentherm Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Gentherm 是否能有效地對其利潤進行再投資?

Gentherm doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Gentherm不支付任何股息,這意味着其所有利潤都可能被再投資於該業務,這並不能解釋爲什麼如果該公司保留所有利潤,其收益就會萎縮。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Gentherm's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對Gentherm的表現有點矛盾。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將得到巨大改善。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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