DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (NYSE:DKS) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 48% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about DICK'S Sporting Goods' P/E ratio of 16.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United States is also close to 16x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, DICK'S Sporting Goods has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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How Is DICK'S Sporting Goods' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, DICK'S Sporting Goods would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 103% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.2% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that DICK'S Sporting Goods' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From DICK'S Sporting Goods' P/E?
DICK'S Sporting Goods' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that DICK'S Sporting Goods currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for DICK'S Sporting Goods with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than DICK'S Sporting Goods. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.