Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. (NYSE:BBW) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 21% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Build-A-Bear Workshop's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Build-A-Bear Workshop has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Build-A-Bear Workshop.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Build-A-Bear Workshop's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.9% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Build-A-Bear Workshop is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Build-A-Bear Workshop's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Build-A-Bear Workshop maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Build-A-Bear Workshop with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than Build-A-Bear Workshop. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.