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China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000657) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 15 18:13

China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000657) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 31x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000657 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024
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How Is China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 124% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Tungsten And Hightech MaterialsLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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