Those holding Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301389) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 28% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 55% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 60% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 191% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 41%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Long Young Electronic (Kunshan). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.