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Even With A 44% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300953) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 15 18:51

Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300953) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 44% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ningbo Zhenyu Technology may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300953 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

How Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Ningbo Zhenyu Technology has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ningbo Zhenyu Technology.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Ningbo Zhenyu Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 46% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 28% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Ningbo Zhenyu Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Ningbo Zhenyu Technology's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Ningbo Zhenyu Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Ningbo Zhenyu Technology (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ningbo Zhenyu Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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