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Investors Five-year Losses Continue as COSCO SHIPPING Ports (HKG:1199) Dips a Further 3.5% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Five-year Losses Continue as COSCO SHIPPING Ports (HKG:1199) Dips a Further 3.5% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

由于中远海运港口(HKG: 1199)本周再下跌3.5%,收益继续下降,投资者五年期亏损仍在继续
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 18:48

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 46% over a half decade. Furthermore, it's down 21% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

选股的主要目的是寻找市场领先的股票。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。因此,我们不会责怪中远海运港口有限公司(HKG: 1199)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了46%。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了21%。对于持有者来说,这没什么好玩的。

With the stock having lost 3.5% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于该股在过去一周下跌了3.5%,值得一看业务表现,看看是否有任何危险信号。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, COSCO SHIPPING Ports' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 5.0% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 12% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 7.26.

在股价下跌的五年中,中远海运港口的每股收益(EPS)每年下降5.0%。每股收益的下降幅度低于股价每年12%的降幅。这意味着市场此前对该股过于乐观。不太乐观的情绪反映在其目前的市盈率7.26中。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1199 Earnings Per Share Growth March 15th 2024
香港交易所:1199 年每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 15 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on COSCO SHIPPING Ports' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要低得多。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。可能值得一看我们关于中远海运港口收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING Ports the TSR over the last 5 years was -28%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,中远海运港口在过去5年的股东总回报率为-28%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 5.4% in the twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING Ports shareholders did even worse, losing 19% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand COSCO SHIPPING Ports better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Ports you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约5.4%,但中远海运港口股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了19%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临5%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中远海运港口,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了中远海运港口的两个警告标志,你应该注意。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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