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Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002378) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002378) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

崇義章源鎢業有限公司's (SZSE: 002378) 股票處於上升趨勢:基本面能否推動勢頭?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 20:37

Most readers would already be aware that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's (SZSE:002378) stock increased significantly by 15% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's ROE.

大多數讀者已經意識到,崇義章源鎢業(深圳證券交易所:002378)的股票在過去一個月中大幅上漲了15%。鑑於股票價格通常與公司的長期財務表現一致,我們決定更仔細地研究其財務指標,看看它們在近期的價格變動中是否有機會發揮作用。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點介紹崇義章源鎢業的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten is:

因此,根據上述公式,崇義章源鎢業的投資回報率爲:

7.3% = CN¥147m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

7.3% = 1.47億元人民幣 ÷ 2.0億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。另一種看法是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就能獲得0.07元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's Earnings Growth And 7.3% ROE

崇義章源鎢業的收益增長和7.3%的投資回報率的並排比較

At first glance, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Particularly, the exceptional 47% net income growth seen by Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,崇義章源鎢業的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。但是,其投資回報率與行業平均水平的7.1%相似,因此我們不會完全解散該公司。特別是,崇義章源鎢業在過去五年中實現了47%的驚人淨收入增長,這非常引人注目。考慮到投資回報率適中,很可能還有其他一些方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。

We then compared Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 13% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將崇義章源鎢業的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,我們很高興地看到,與五年同期增長率爲13%的行業相比,該公司的增長數字更高。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002378 Past Earnings Growth March 16th 2024
SZSE: 002378 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 16 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查崇義章源鎢業相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

崇義章源鎢業在有效利用利潤嗎?

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 55%, meaning the company only retains 45% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

崇義章源鎢業的三年派息率中位數相當可觀,爲55%,這意味着該公司僅保留其收入的45%。這意味着儘管將大部分利潤返還給了股東,但該公司仍能夠實現高收益增長。

Additionally, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 38% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 14% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,崇義章源鎢業已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年降至38%。派息率的下降可以解釋該公司的投資回報率預計將在同期上升至14%。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Namely, its high earnings growth. We do however feel that the earnings growth number could have been even higher, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings and paid out less dividends. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們認爲崇義章源鎢業確實有一些積極的因素需要考慮。也就是說,其高收益增長。但是,我們確實認爲,如果該公司將更多的收益再投資並減少派發的股息,收益增長數字可能會更高。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益增長預計將放緩。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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