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Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300391) Surges 52% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

長江医薬品集団株式会社(SZSE:300391)は52%急騰しましたが、低いP / Sは興奮する理由ではありません

Simply Wall St ·  03/16 20:22

Those holding Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300391) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 52% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 40% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Auto Components industry have P/S ratios above 2.5x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300391 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 38%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 55% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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