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What Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Corporation Limited's (SZSE:300756) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 17 00:19

Those holding Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Corporation Limited (SZSE:300756) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Machinery industry is similar at about 2.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300756 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Has Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Guangdong Jinma Entertainment as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 66% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 72% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 28% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's P/S?

Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Guangdong Jinma Entertainment revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Guangdong Jinma Entertainment (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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