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Nanjing Julong Science & Technology Co.,LTD's (SZSE:300644) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 17 08:26

Nanjing Julong Science & Technology Co.,LTD (SZSE:300644) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.6% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD as an attractive investment with its 20.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300644 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 168%. EPS has also lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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