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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Lingda Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300125) 35% Share Price Climb

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 16 20:47

Those holding Lingda Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300125) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 55% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Lingda Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Building industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300125 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Lingda Group Has Been Performing

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Lingda Group's revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lingda Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lingda Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, in spite of this mediocre revenue growth of late. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Lingda Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Lingda Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To our surprise, Lingda Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Lingda Group that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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